Is Egypt a Red State? New Poll Finds Romney Support There

By Ari Bildner, Staff Writer

Washington, May 22 – Egypt is GOP country – even though most Egyptians probably know little about the Republican presidential nominee.

A new University of Maryland poll by the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution asked Egyptian voters their preference in the U.S. presidential race. Seventy-three percent chose Mitt Romney while only 25 percent chose President Obama.

Yet Shibley Telhami – a Middle East scholar at the University of Maryland who directed the poll – cautioned that the result was largely due to anti-Obama sentiment among Egyptians angered by his embrace of Israeli  policy, particularly at the U.N. General Assembly last September.

“It’s essentially an anger-with-Obama indication,” he said at the poll release event in Washington on Monday. “It’s not an embrace of Romney; they know nothing about him.”

Telhami explained that Egyptians have been wrapped up in domestic turmoil ahead of the watershed presidential election Thursday, with little time to follow the U.S race. The numbers supporting Romney, he said, instead show the souring of Egyptian opinion since Obama’s landmark Cairo speech in June 2009. Most Egyptians, he said, believe Obama has been biased against the Palestinians in his dealings with Israel.

“This happened almost entirely because of his position on the Israel-Palestine question; we measured that,” Telhami said, who noted the “zero-sum” irony that Israelis conversely held negative attitudes toward Obama at first and have become positive about incumbent president in the last year.

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Key Republican Senator Talks Syria, Israel, Iran

U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida

U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida

By Ari Bildner, Staff Writer

Washington, April 25 – The downfall of embattled Syrian President Bashar Assad would strengthen Israel and improve the prospects for peace, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio said Wednesday.

“The security of our ally, the strongest and most enduring democracy in the region, Israel, with whom we are bound by the strongest ties of mutual interest and shared values and affection would improve as well. And so would the prospects for peace between Israel and its Arab neighbors improve,” Rubio said.

The Republican senator has been touted as a top vice-presidential pick for presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney despite his repeated denials of interest. During the speech at the Brookings Institution, he waded into the foreign policy realm as speculation in Washington grows about the possibility of a Romney-Rubio ticket come November.

Syria has been embroiled in 13-months of violence, after demonstrators were attacked by regime forces last March.  The death toll, much of it from Assad forces killing civilians, is estimated to have reached 11,000 by mid-April. A cease-fire is now technically in place, although international monitors have said the regime has not adhered to it.

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Analysts talk timing on Iran, U.S. presidential race

By Ari Bildner, Staff Writer

Washington, April 10 – On the eve of fresh international talks with Iran over halting its suspected nuclear weapons program, three top observers of the situation offered predictions for the future of the standoff ahead of the U.S. presidential election in November.

Brookings Institution’s Saban Center for Middle East Policy senior fellows Shibley Telhami, Suzanne Maloney and Michael Doran all said that envoys to the upcoming P5+1 Talks with Iran this weekend should not expect any breakthroughs.

Some western diplomats hold “a fear of exacerbating the relationship with Iran,” Doran said, while leaders of the Islamic Republic are “masters of spinning nothing into negotiations.”

Yet Telhami said the possibility of negotiation with Iran remains, even if the country thought such talks would be risky if it wanted to preempt what it sees as a credible Israeli threat with an attack on the Jewish state.

Maloney said Congressional Republican’s outmaneuvering of President Obama on sanctions weakened the administration and added to pessimism over the upcoming talks.

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